Democratic pollster Peter Hart, of the Hart Research Foundation, said in an interview on MSNBC with Chuck Todd yesterday that Donald Trump can win the White House if he has “one sane month” between now and the election in November.
Peter Hart conducted a focus group in Wisconsin, and says that the voters had some “very strong” responses to both the Trump and Clinton campaigns so far.
Hart first asked members of the focus group to describe the “smell” of the campaign so far. Responses ranged from garbage to rotten eggs, to the smell of a skunk. The group included 4 Clinton supporters, 4 Trump supporters and 4 undecided voters.
Hart admits that the media and pollsters have played a part in how this election season has been viewed in the eyes of the voters, and the end results is many of them believing the rhetoric from both campaigns “stinks”.
The overall result of this focus group, as Peter Hart states, is:
“Essentially they don’t trust Hillary Clinton to give them an honest answer, and they don’t trust Donald Trump to be a safe leader.”
If I were running for President, I’d consider changing public opinion on my consistently or stability to be a much easier task than to make them believe the words coming out of my mouth. Once you are branded a liar or untrustworthy, it’s very difficult to ever break that image because voters tend to not believe what you’re saying, even if you are speaking truthfully.
Even the Washington post has admited that recent polls have showed only 37% of voters believe Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy, versus 57% that believe she is not.
Chuck Todd then asks Hart, if he didn’t know anything about the current poll numbers, who he would pick as having the best shot at winning the election.
Hart responds that Donald Trump has “the better hand” and “if he had a sane month” he would get the full attention of the voters.
“The problem with Hillary Clinton, there’s a sense there’s a glass curtain, they can’t reach her, they feel that there’s a mask.”
Peter Hart feels that voters are more willing to give Donald Trump a chance, even after considering the amount of Republican politicians that have spoke out against him, Trump is still standing almost even with Clinton in the polls. The closeness of the race indicates he has a much stronger chance of overtaking Hillary than most people realize.
Although many voters have been disgusted with the amount of mud slinging that has taken place this election, it hasn’t stopped them from making a choice between the two candidates. Votes typically say they don’t like the negative political ads that they see, with one candidate bashing another, yet research shows that they are effective in changing their minds.
Despite the polls, a hostile press and infighting with his own party, Donald Trump remains in close contention with Hillary Clinton nationally as well as in competitive swing states.
With Trump’s recent turnaround and internal campaign management shakeup, it appears he’s on a much more stable path. A path, that if he stays true to following, may lead him directly to the White House.
Watch the full interview here.