Another instance of polls being “revised” to match the mainstream media’s narrative of Hillary Clinton leading in every swing state. Or in cases where a poll can’t be revised, it is completely removed from news sites if it shows a Trump lead. Yesterday I reported a Pennsylvania poll was removed from a local news website CBS8, likely because it showed Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton by 5 points in that state.
Now, a recent Monmouth University poll of Ohio voters originally showed Trump winning the state by 2 points, 41 to 39 over Clinton, and was later revised to weight voters who identified as Democrat at a higher level. This in turn gave Hillary Clinton a +4 lead instead.
Weighting is a common practice in polling to attempt to give a more accurate picture of who is winning, but this year it seems pollsters have gone overboard.
If any poll shows Donald Trump in the lead, well, it must be not calculated properly, is the only thought that goes through the liberal media’s head in these cases.
— TheLastRefuge (@TheLastRefuge2) August 22, 2016
— Paul Joseph Watson (@PrisonPlanet) August 22, 2016
Monmouth University was caught amending a poll to give Hillary Clinton victory despite the fact that the original poll showed Donald Trump to be the winner.
The original unweighted poll showed Trump beating Hillary in Ohio 41-39, but when the poll was later amended to include more Democrats, Hillary was handed victory by a margin of 43-39.
The unweighted sampling of voters was split 33.3R/29.3D/35.6I, but was subsequently changed(pages 6-7) to 29R/33D/37I in order to ensure Hillary came out on top.
When Twitter users called out Monmouth University over the controversy, pollster Patrick Murray denied the poll was weighted by Party ID, even though it clearly was.
“Just as a reminder “weighting” is the term used for actually changing the raw data to reflect the “assumptions” the pollster puts into the anticipated turnout of the election,” reports the Conservative Treehouse. “Depending on the “assumptions” (guesses about who will vote), and the “weighting” therein, the entire poll outcome can be severely manipulated and even reversed.”
As radio host Bill Mitchell explains in the video below, the vast majority of polls oversample Democrats, which is why Hillary is seemingly doing so well.
Americans identify as Republicans or Democrats at a roughly even rate, so overall polling samples should be evenly distributed between Republicans and Democrats.
But they’re not. Most polls ask more Democrats than Republicans who they are voting for, which is why Hillary always seems to come out on top. When the sampling is evenly distributed, Donald Trump wins the poll.
In addition, polls are being amended to make Hillary’s victory seem inevitable by adding in her favor the votes of respondents who said they wouldn’t be voting at all.
Reuters also eliminated the choice of voting for neither candidate in its poll in order to artificially boost Hillary’s numbers.