Nate Silver has been notoriously wrong about nearly every prediction he has made this election season regarding Donald Trump, but I’m hoping he breaks his losing streak with this one. The data analyst website fivethirtyeight.com uses a combination of polls and other metrics to create an outlook for elections. They originally had Donald Trump’s chances of winning the primaries as less than 5% at one point, and after he became the presumptive nominee, they admitted that they let their personal viewpoints influence their predictions.
Nate Silver of 538 is predicting a different result this time, one that appears to show Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in November by a healthy margin. The swing states are still in play, but he has them tipping in the favor of Trump.
TRUMP now leads in 538’s now-cast, our estimate of what would happen in an election today. https://t.co/djsqNajFrh pic.twitter.com/7DvrdieHOw
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 25, 2016
Nate must be starring at his computer screen in horror after having to post this map based on his analysis.
If Hillary’s campaign keep heading in the direction it’s currently going in, with scandal after scandal being released, then Trump should have no problem winning the swing states comes November.
