Axiom Strategies studies polling results in battleground state counties that historically have determined the direction in which the state votes during the general election. These counties are like the pulse of the political opinions of the state, at least they have been in past elections, and could indicate a serious shift in sentiment this year. With the unpredictable trend of this year’s general election, anything can happen and we could easily see historically Blue states turn Red in November.
I have personal experience in some of these counties, and I can tell you that this does not bode well for Hillary Clinton. These counties typically are strong Democrat party supporters, and some of have seen record defections to the Republican party during the primaries, citing the reason of being able to vote for Donald Trump.
Although these counties do not generally represent the large urban areas of each state, they do still hold considerable populations and could indicate how the surrounding areas will vote in the presidential election.
Notice that Trump’s lead from June to July has increased in every country polled, except in Nevada where he has stayed the same. Hillary Clinton has lost her lead in the Colorado county, and decreased to only 3% in Virginia. Luzerne county in PA shows the biggest lead for Trump, at +23%, which is a historically blue color coal mining area with strong Democrat ties. In fact, Joe Biden was born in Scranton, right next to Luzerne county in PA, and the area has welcomed Obama in the past.
Are the winds of change flowing through the blue collar areas of America, since many workers have seen their job opportunities dry up as they are shipped overseas? Perhaps they are beginning to realize that neither political party or their past presidential candidates have shown much concern for middle-class America. Sure, it sounds good in speeches when they always pledge to, “strengthen the middle class,” but the end result is nothing seems to get better.
In fact, it only seems to get worse, especially for factory workers as they are promptly laid off as their companies move to places like Mexico. Donald Trump used Carrier, a large air conditioner manufacture in Indiana, as a rallying cry against bad trade deals and America losing jobs to foreign nations. This message has resonated with all workers of all income brackets (except the top 1%) in America, and has been one of the driving factors in propelling Trump to the top of Republican party ticket.
After Hillary Clinton’s escape from FBI justice in her email case, polls results have not looked good for her nationally either. Only a few more scandals in the Clinton camp, and we can call this election over for her.
Will our next president be Donald Trump for America first, or Hillary Clinton for Wall Street first, and more of the same?