Over the past week Donald Trump has been outperforming Hillary Clinton by the highest margins since after the Republican National Convention in July, but some of his greatest increases have come from voters already thought to be firmly in the Democrat’s corner.
Nationally, Trump leads Clinton by 6.7 points (47.7%-41%) in the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times “Daybreak” poll, which tracks around 3,000 voters per day.
This also marks the highest percentage that Trump has ever achieved in this poll, with his previous high water mark coming in at 47.4% back in July.
One of the contributing factors to Trump’s rise in this poll has been his increased popularity with both minorities and millennial voters, two demographics that the Clinton campaign has been counting on for support in this election.
Since last week, Trump’s numbers have steadily increased to their highest levels among voters ages 18-34, where he is now leading Clinton by a healthy margin of 8.4 points.
Millennials were a driving force behind the campaign of Bernie Sanders, yet have been more reluctant to show any sort of enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton. Maybe it has something to do with the leaked DNC emails proving that the organization colluded to undermine Bernie’s campaign in order to ensure a Clinton victory? Something tells me that even if the leak never happened, millennials would still not be lining up in droves to attend a Hillary Clinton rally.
Younger voters aren’t the only ones warming up to Trump recently. It seems that, despite the Democrat’s best efforts to secure the African-American vote, they may have other plans come November 8th.
Hillary’s support among black voters has fallen dramatically over the last week to 70.9%, while Trump has hit yet another record with 20.1%. Donald Trump has been reaching out to minority communities in the past several weeks, giving a speech at a prominent black church in Detroit that was very well received.
Perhaps internal polling for the Democrats is showing a similar drop in minority support, prompting Barack Obama to campaign on Hillary’s behalf, saying that he will consider it “an insult to my legacy” if they don’t vote for her.
This isn’t the only minority group that the Democrats appear to be struggling with. The Washington Post reports that there is “deep concern about Clinton’s Hispanic strategy” as well. In fact, the Hispanics are a key support group that the Democrats were counting on to ensure their victory in Colorado, but as I recently reported, Trump is leading by 2 points in that state for the first time.
Although Clinton holds a steady 14 point lead over Trump with Hispanics in the LA Times poll, if even a fraction of that number moves over to Trump, then the Democrats will suffer an embarrassing defeat in this election.
Another notable increase in Trump’s national poll numbers came from the middle class voters with income between 35k and 75k per year.
Hillary Clinton has been under-performing with the middle class in this poll since this election began, but the race tightened shortly after the DNC in August. Like other demographics, however, Trump has recently seen his poll numbers increase to their highest level of support thus far.
Will the “3 M’s” be enough to drive Trump to victory this year: Millennials, Minorities and Middle Class voters?
I think finding victory with these 3 demographics would cause a massive Trump landslide in November, but just in case, we can add the fourth “M” to the mix that he is finding record support with in this poll as well…Males: