Despite recent mainstream media polls, conducted by known anti-Trump outlets like NBC/Wallstreet journal, Donald Trump has a real chance to take Pennsylvania this November. If you dig deeper into many of these polls and the metrics that the companies used as a sample size, you will find instances of oversampling of Democrats along with other sub-groups that are known to have a low approval of Trump, thus artificially inflating the support for Hillary Clinton.
I’m going to reference a poll that perhaps is not as well known as the state or country wide ones, but may paint a clearer picture of exactly who is in the lead in swing states.
In July, Axiom Strategies conducted polls in various counties within swing states that have historically determined who the state will vote for in November.
Back on July 18th, I wrote an article that included all of the metrics for this poll, and Luzerne county in Pennsylvania actually showed Trump with the highest lead out of all of them, up by 23% (55% to 32%) over Hillary Clinton. Luzerne county has historically determined the way that the rest of the state of Pennsylvania will vote, within reason, come November.
Luzerne county has always been a blue colored, and heavily Democratic party, stronghold in PA, which prospered during the coal mining days. Those days are long since passed, and considering Hillary Clinton flat out said she “will put the coal mines out of business,” I doubt they will be returning any time soon if she gets in office.
I tend to give a closer look to smaller polling companies that aren’t involved with or a part of any mainstream media outlets. These poll numbers show some favorable trends for Donald Trump come election time.
It’s no secret that the Democrats control many large urban areas within these states, and can likely rally a massive voter showing, but would it be enough to overcome Trump’s ecstatic support in other counties?
Time will tell, but in the meantime, Donald Trump is stating that if he loses Pennsylvania, it only be due to the fact that the Democrats will engage in massive unethical (and also illegal) voting practices where they are firmly in control.
It’s really not that outrages of a statement, considering in 2012, Barack Obama received 100% (and sometimes over 100%) support from certain urban precincts in swing states such as Pennsylvania and Ohio.
Breitbart News reports:
Friday in Altoona, PA, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump said the only way he will lose this November in Pennsylvania is “if cheating goes on.”
Trump said, “The only way we can lose, in my opinion, I really mean this, Pennsylvania, is if cheating goes on. I really believe it. ”
He added, “That’s the way we could lose the state. We have to call up law enforcement, and we have to have the sheriffs and the police chiefs, everybody watching, because if we get cheated out of this election, if we get cheated out of a win in Pennsylvania, which is such a vital state — especially when I know what’s happening here folks. She can’t beat what’s happening here. The only way they can beat it, in my opinion, and I mean this 100 percent, is if in certain sections of the state, they cheat.”