Donald Trump has seen an almost across the board increase in both state and national polls over the past week, taking advantage of Hillary Clinton’s “deplorables” comment as well as her health issues.
Trump 45 (+8)
A 6 point shift toward Trump since Julyhttps://t.co/BQM4WyCA4I
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 15, 2016
The latest Iowa poll from Monmouth University, which has been historically a very reliable poll, shows Trump leading Clinton by 8 points, 45% to 37%. This is an increase over his much slimmer margin of only 2 points in July.
Among Iowa voters likely to participate in November’s presidential election, 45% currently support Trump and 37% back Clinton. Another 8% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 2% say they will support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, 2% say they will vote for another candidate, and 6% are undecided. Trump’s current standing is similar to his 44% share two months ago, but Clinton has lost support since July when she had a 42% vote share.
Patrick Murray, Monmouth’s Director of Polling, also notes that, “Iowa is one of the few places where Trump has been able make inroads among voting blocs that generally support Clinton.”
I’d hardly agree that Iowa is one of the only places Trump has made progress with Democrats, as in many areas of Pennsylvania, Ohio and New Hampshire he has seen similar increases.
Trump has also made extraordinary gains in Colorado, which until recently was thought to be firmly locked up for the Clinton campaign, and the Democrats had even pulled their advertising from the state. With the latest polls showing Trump now beating Clinton in Colorado by 2 points, the Democrats are planning to send back some resources to help regain their lead.
As Hillary Clinton’s national poll numbers continue to crumble, and with Donald Trump clearly having momentum on his side at this point, future polls over the next week could look even more grim for the Democrats. Clinton has also not been known to put on extraordinary performances during live debates, and we still have 3 of them to go before election day.